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The Open - Steve Palmer's betting tips

13 July 2022 05:10:25 EST
The Claret Jug is up for grabs at the 150th Open Championship at St Andrews

Racing Post golf tipster Steve Palmer picks out his favourite bets for the Open Championship in the Outright market and also the Top Golfer by Category sections.

Collin Morikawa heads to the 150th Open Championship at St Andrews as the defending champion, while the last time the tournament was staged at the Home of Golf, in 2015, Zach Johnson claimed the Claret Jug following a play-off.

But who does Steve expect to be there on Sunday evening challenging for the final Major of the year?

What

The Open Championship

Where

The Old Course, St Andrews, Scotland

When

Thursday 14th - Sunday 17th July

How to watch

Sky Sports and follow via bet365's Live Golf Tracker

OddsRory McIlroy 10/1, Xander Schauffele 16/1, Jon Rahm 18/1, Jordan Spieth 18/1, Matthew Fitzpatrick 20/1

To Win Outright

Rory McIlroy

The cream tends to rise at the top in Opens at St Andrews - this historic layout has seen Jack Nicklaus, Seve Ballesteros, Nick Faldo and Tiger Woods lift the Claret Jug - and Rory McIlroy could be set to add his name to the magnificent Old Course honours board.

McIlroy has always played St Andrews well, finishing third on his Dunhill Links debut, then second in that tournament three times.

He opened with a 63 in the 2010 Open at St Andrews and would have gone close to winning the Claret Jug that year had he not suffered in gale-force winds on the second afternoon.

The 10/1 chance has been in great nick this season and can land an overdue fifth Major title on Sunday.

Jordan Spieth

Perhaps the biggest threat to McIlroy this week will come from Jordan Spieth, who can be backed at 18/1. The 2017 Open champion adores the Open and finished fourth at St Andrews in the 2015 edition, just a shot shy of the play-off.

Spieth warmed up nicely with tenth place in the Scottish Open last week - a decent effort on his Renaissance Club debut - and his creativity and touch should be shown to great effect at a firm and fast St Andrews.

Shane Lowry

Another solid each-way investment could be Shane Lowry, who romped to a six-shot Open triumph at Royal Portrush in 2019.

The 22/1 against the Irishman's name this week seems generous when you consider he has three top-six finishes to his name at St Andrews in the Dunhill Links Championship.

Lowry has been playing consistently well all year and has always been one of the best links golfers in the world. He won the 2009 Irish Open on a links course when he was still an amateur and he will approach this week's assignment bursting with self-belief.

Patrick Reed

Pick of the outsiders could be Patrick Reed, who has been chalked up at 100/1. The 2018 Masters champion has shown his bottle at the highest level, winning a tight contest at Augusta as well as performing superbly for the United States in the Ryder Cup.

Last month he became a free agent again - able to put whatever equipment he fancied into play - and the improvement was immediate.

Reed finished third in the LIV Golf Portland event and has returned this week to the course where he finished 20th in the 2015 Open. The Texan has the short-game class to contend at St Andrews.

Related Open Championship News

The Open - Golf: Five to follow

The Open - Golf: Five outsiders to look out for

The Open - Golf: Hole by Hole Guide

The Open - Golf: All You Need to Know

Top Golfer by Category

Sam Bairstow - Top Amateur

Japanese raider Keita Nakajima heads the betting in the top amateur market, but Englishman Sam Bairstow may have more chance of success. The 16/5 against his name is attractive given his record at this week's venue in the St Andrews Links Trophy.

Bairstow has played in that event three times and has never carded an over-par round at the Old Course. In his second Open start, he can hang tough.

Jordan Spieth - Top American

Many Americans have turned up at St Andrews this week with no course knowledge at all - Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa included - and they have a race against time to learn the subtleties of this ancient layout.

Jordan Spieth contended in the 2015 Open at St Andrews and can hit the ground running - the 8/1 for top American is eye-catching.

Bernd Wiesberger - Top Austrian

The top Austrian market is a two-runner affair - and Bernd Wiesberger should probably be a shorter price than 8/11. Wiesberger has won a DP World Tour event on links terrain - the 2019 Scottish Open - and he has played in seven Opens.

Wiesberger made the cut in the 2015 Open at St Andrews and is much preferred to Sepp Straka - a debutant who has gone off the boil on the PGA Tour of late.

Thomas Pieters - Top Continental European

Jon Rahm has much to prove after his sorry Sunday 74 in the US Open, which saw him fold badly when in contention, and his 2022 campaign has not amounted to much.

Aside from a low-grade Mexico Open success, Rahm has failed to make an impact and the short odds against his name for top continental European hold no appeal.

Thomas Pieters represents a value alternative at 10/1. The Belgian bomber has the tools to tame St Andrews and has been swinging well on the DP World Tour, almost winning the BMW International Open last month.

Matthew Jordan - Top Debutant

The 25/1 against the name of Matthew Jordan for top debutant is worth a second glance. Jordan grew up playing at Hoylake - another Open venue - and is blessed with plenty of links ability.

He finished fifth in the 2019 Dunhill Links Championship and will be confident of making birdies at St Andrews. Seamus Power heads the betting, but the Irishman has no course experience.

Joohyung Kim - Top Korean

Korea appears to have developed another quality player - Joohyung Kim has made rapid strides up the world rankings and was superb in the Scottish Open last week.

Third place at the Renaissance Club on Sunday showed Kim has fallen in love with links golf straight away. His Asia Tour form is magnificent and the 100/30 that he defeats Si Woo Kim and others at St Andrews seems well worth taking.

Robert MacIntyre - Top Left-Hander Player

Few players in the field will be as excited about teeing up in this week's Open at St Andrews as Scotsman Robert MacIntyre. He has been struggling for top gear lately, but his formline is still more appealing than his rivals in the top left-handed player market.

Brian Harman was abysmal in the Scottish Open last week - only two players in the 160-runner event scored worse - while Phil Mickelson seems away with the fairies at the moment, so MacIntyre holds plenty of juice at 17/10.

By Steve Palmer

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